Dynamic Measurement Analysis of Urbanization Level and Sporting Goods Manufacturing Industry in China
Chen Po
Abstract
Chen Po
Abstract
This paper based on the time-series data from 1999 to 2007,the use of cointegration tests,Granger causality test,impulse response function and variance decomposition model,the relationship between the level of urbanization sporting goods manufacturing industry and the development of dynamic econometric of China was analyzed.It was found that the process of urbanization and the development of sporting goods manufacturing had the long-term balance relationship,and the effect of the process of urbanization on the sporting goods manufacturing industry is stronger than the reverse effect of the development of sporting goods manufacturing process on urbanization.From the short-term of view,the process of urbanization is the Granger causes of the development sporting goods manufacturing industry,and sporting goods manufacturing industry is not the process of urbanization Granger causes;the process of urbanization and the development of sporting goods manufacturing industry have mutual influence.There are more obvious the differences in the process of urbanization on the development of sporting goods manufacturing industry is more positive impact,although the development of sporting goods manufacturing industry must also have a positive effect on the process of urbanization,but the effect is not significant.The level of urbanization of China's sporting goods manufacturing and in-depth understanding of the development of relations is conducive to all levels of government in the promotion of urbanization and to promote sports development in the course of the manufacturing sector to take reasonable measures with a view to achieving a win-win situation between the two long-term goals.
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This paper based on the time-series data from 1999 to 2007,the use of cointegration tests,Granger causality test,impulse response function and variance decomposition model,the relationship between the level of urbanization sporting goods manufacturing industry and the development of dynamic econometric of China was analyzed.It was found that the process of urbanization and the development of sporting goods manufacturing had the long-term balance relationship,and the effect of the process of urbanization on the sporting goods manufacturing industry is stronger than the reverse effect of the development of sporting goods manufacturing process on urbanization.From the short-term of view,the process of urbanization is the Granger causes of the development sporting goods manufacturing industry,and sporting goods manufacturing industry is not the process of urbanization Granger causes;the process of urbanization and the development of sporting goods manufacturing industry have mutual influence.There are more obvious the differences in the process of urbanization on the development of sporting goods manufacturing industry is more positive impact,although the development of sporting goods manufacturing industry must also have a positive effect on the process of urbanization,but the effect is not significant.The level of urbanization of China's sporting goods manufacturing and in-depth understanding of the development of relations is conducive to all levels of government in the promotion of urbanization and to promote sports development in the course of the manufacturing sector to take reasonable measures with a view to achieving a win-win situation between the two long-term goals.
Key concepts: Urbanization, Manufacturing, Granger causality, Variance decomposition of forecast errors, Goods and services, China, Finished good, Cointegration