2008Economic & Trade UpdateRequires access

The study on the relation of the change of RMB exchange rate and deposit interest rate

Long Ji

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Abstract

This article uses the monthly data from 2000.1 to 2007.8 to analyze the relation of the change of RMB exchange rate and resident deposit interest rate,by using Granger causality tests,ADF test,VAR model,impulse response function and variance decomposition.And it shows that the effect of the change of RMB exchange rate on deposit interest rate is significant but the one of interest rate on exchange rate is not very significant.Some factors,such as system,economy,restrict the relation of exchange rate and interest rate.

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What this paper is about

This article uses the monthly data from 2000.1 to 2007.8 to analyze the relation of the change of RMB exchange rate and resident deposit interest rate,by using Granger causality tests,ADF test,VAR model,impulse response function and variance decomposition.And it shows that the effect of the change of RMB exchange rate on deposit interest rate is significant but the one of interest rate on exchange rate is not very significant.Some factors,such as system,economy,restrict the relation of exchange rate and interest rate.

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Available abstract

This article uses the monthly data from 2000.1 to 2007.8 to analyze the relation of the change of RMB exchange rate and resident deposit interest rate,by using Granger causality tests,ADF test,VAR model,impulse response function and variance decomposition.And it shows that the effect of the change of RMB exchange rate on deposit interest rate is significant but the one of interest rate on exchange rate is not very significant.Some factors,such as system,economy,restrict the relation of exchange rate and interest rate.

Key concepts: Renminbi, Exchange rate, Granger causality, Variance decomposition of forecast errors, Interest rate, Economics, Econometrics, Impulse response

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