2012Journal of Guizhou UniversityRequires access

A Traffic Congestion Flow Range and Congestion Prediction Method

Hu Yao

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Abstract

A traffic congestion flow range and congestion prediction method was presented.Firstly the mean change-point theory was used to find out the traffic congestion points,determining congestion flow range,and then through the wavelet analysis and ARMA traffic flow combined forecast model were utilized to realize the real time prediction of congestion points.An example of Guiyang City verifies the effectiveness of the forecasting model.

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What this paper is about

A traffic congestion flow range and congestion prediction method was presented.Firstly the mean change-point theory was used to find out the traffic congestion points,determining congestion flow range,and then through the wavelet analysis and ARMA traffic flow combined forecast model were utilized to realize the real time prediction of congestion points.An example of Guiyang City verifies the effectiveness of the forecasting model.

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Available abstract

A traffic congestion flow range and congestion prediction method was presented.Firstly the mean change-point theory was used to find out the traffic congestion points,determining congestion flow range,and then through the wavelet analysis and ARMA traffic flow combined forecast model were utilized to realize the real time prediction of congestion points.An example of Guiyang City verifies the effectiveness of the forecasting model.

Key concepts: Traffic congestion, Traffic congestion reconstruction with Kerner's three-phase theory, Traffic flow (computer networking), Range (aeronautics), Computer science, Simulation, Engineering, Transport engineering

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