2011•Yellow RiverRequires access

Water Demand Prediction of National Economy in the Yellow River Basin

Jing Meng

Abstract

According to the characteristics of the economic and social development in the Yellow River Basin,the paper analyzed and forecasted the development trend and scale of the economic and social in the Yellow River Basin.Considering four kinds of water-saving patterns that present water-saving mode,basic water-saving mode,strengthened water-saving mode and superior water-saving mode,the paper forecasted the water demand of the each sector separately.Through the comparison,the water demand prediction based on the strengthened water-saving pattern was selected as the recommended scheme of the water resources plan.Finally,the paper studied the rationality of the water use from the aspects of efficiency,quota,structure and the increasing rate of water use.

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Key concepts: Mode (computer interface), Structural basin, Water resources, Water saving, Environmental science, Water resource management, Drainage basin, Scale (ratio)