2010Jingji lilun yu jingji guanliRequires access

A STUDY ON THE LINKAGE BETWEEN REAL ESTATE SPATIAL MARKET AND CAPITAL MARKET IN CHINA

Yuhua Zhao

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Abstract

In terms of real estate return,the paper develops a model of the linkage between real estate spatial and capital markets.The theoretical model indicates that the present stock price is positively correlated to the present real estate price and is negatively correlated to the real estate price in next period.By analyzing the rich data of 61 real estate listed companies at Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets from 1996 through 2007,we employ system GMM estimator to test the linkage of real estate markets.The results show a strong linkage between real estate spatial and capital markets.But the linkage is asymmetric.The impact of real estate price on stock price is greater than that of stock price on real estate price.Second,the rental price has no significant influence on real estate price and stock price.Finally,the movement of real estate price is serial correlated;while the movement of stock price is random walk.

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What this paper is about

In terms of real estate return,the paper develops a model of the linkage between real estate spatial and capital markets.The theoretical model indicates that the present stock price is positively correlated to the present real estate price and is negatively correlated to the real estate price in next period.By analyzing the rich data of 61 real estate listed companies at Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets from 1996 through 2007,we employ system GMM estimator to test the linkage of real estate markets.The results show a strong linkage between real estate spatial and capital markets.But the linkage is asymmetric.The impact of real estate price on stock price is greater than that of stock price on real estate price.Second,the rental price has no significant influence on real estate price and stock price.Finally,the movement of real estate price is serial correlated;while the movement of stock price is random walk.

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Available abstract

In terms of real estate return,the paper develops a model of the linkage between real estate spatial and capital markets.The theoretical model indicates that the present stock price is positively correlated to the present real estate price and is negatively correlated to the real estate price in next period.By analyzing the rich data of 61 real estate listed companies at Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets from 1996 through 2007,we employ system GMM estimator to test the linkage of real estate markets.The results show a strong linkage between real estate spatial and capital markets.But the linkage is asymmetric.The impact of real estate price on stock price is greater than that of stock price on real estate price.Second,the rental price has no significant influence on real estate price and stock price.Finally,the movement of real estate price is serial correlated;while the movement of stock price is random walk.

Key concepts: Capitalization rate, Real estate, Real estate investment trust, Price on application, Cost approach, Economics, Financial economics, Linkage (software)

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