2012Marine ForecastsRequires access

Characteristics of wind speed in LianYun-gang and forecast in the sub-region

Feng Huan-ling

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Abstract

Based on the observing data from island station,the characteristics of wind speed in Lian Yun-gang were analyzed and the sub-regions of wind prediction were set up.The result of WRF model showed that the model could resolve the variation trend of wind,speed,but the deviation of the wind speed was high.The results also showed that the model forecasting performance of wind speed was lower for the special geographical region.After the adjustment with the Kalman filter method,the forecasting accuracy of wind speed was improved for the island station and all the other sub-regions.

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What this paper is about

Based on the observing data from island station,the characteristics of wind speed in Lian Yun-gang were analyzed and the sub-regions of wind prediction were set up.The result of WRF model showed that the model could resolve the variation trend of wind,speed,but the deviation of the wind speed was high.The results also showed that the model forecasting performance of wind speed was lower for the special geographical region.After the adjustment with the Kalman filter method,the forecasting accuracy of wind speed was improved for the island station and all the other sub-regions.

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Available abstract

Based on the observing data from island station,the characteristics of wind speed in Lian Yun-gang were analyzed and the sub-regions of wind prediction were set up.The result of WRF model showed that the model could resolve the variation trend of wind,speed,but the deviation of the wind speed was high.The results also showed that the model forecasting performance of wind speed was lower for the special geographical region.After the adjustment with the Kalman filter method,the forecasting accuracy of wind speed was improved for the island station and all the other sub-regions.

Key concepts: Wind speed, Meteorology, Weather Research and Forecasting Model, Environmental science, Kalman filter, Wind direction, Climatology, Geology

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