2014RePEc: Research Papers in EconomicsRequires access

An Economic and GHG Analysis of LNG in Hawaii

Makena Coffman, Paul Bernstein, Sherilyn Wee, Clarice Schafer

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Abstract

Hawaii currently meets the majority of its electricity needs through costly oil-fired generation causing rates to be nearly four times the national average (EIA, 2013a). The �shale gas revolution� has led to rapidly declining natural gas prices within the continental U.S. The emergence of a natural gas market that is de-linked from oil prices has renewed Hawaii�s interest in natural gas imports. Potentially lower natural gas prices as well as the view that it will help to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and increase energy supply security through domestic sourcing are major reasons why the State and key stakeholders are deliberating over importing large amounts of natural gas in liquefied form (liquefied natural gas or LNG). This study uses detailed models of Hawaii�s electric sector and overall economy to estimate the impacts of Hawaii importing LNG for use in the electric sector.

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Hawaii currently meets the majority of its electricity needs through costly oil-fired generation causing rates to be nearly four times the national average (EIA, 2013a). The �shale gas revolution� has led to rapidly declining natural gas prices within the continental U.S. The emergence of a natural gas market that is de-linked from oil prices has renewed Hawaii�s interest in natural gas imports. Potentially lower natural gas prices as well as the view that it will help to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and increase energy supply security through domestic sourcing are major reasons why the State and key stakeholders are deliberating over importing large amounts of natural gas in liquefied form (liquefied natural gas or LNG). This study uses detailed models of Hawaii�s electric sector and overall economy to estimate the impacts of Hawaii importing LNG for use in the electric sector.

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Available abstract

Hawaii currently meets the majority of its electricity needs through costly oil-fired generation causing rates to be nearly four times the national average (EIA, 2013a). The �shale gas revolution� has led to rapidly declining natural gas prices within the continental U.S. The emergence of a natural gas market that is de-linked from oil prices has renewed Hawaii�s interest in natural gas imports. Potentially lower natural gas prices as well as the view that it will help to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and increase energy supply security through domestic sourcing are major reasons why the State and key stakeholders are deliberating over importing large amounts of natural gas in liquefied form (liquefied natural gas or LNG). This study uses detailed models of Hawaii�s electric sector and overall economy to estimate the impacts of Hawaii importing LNG for use in the electric sector.

Key concepts: Liquefied natural gas, Natural gas, Greenhouse gas, Electricity, Natural resource economics, Natural gas prices, Liquefied petroleum gas, Fossil fuel

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