2010•中国经济学人:英文版Requires access

Infrastructure’s contribution to China’s total factor productivity growth

刘秉镰, 武鹏, 刘玉海

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Abstract

This paper analyzes the relationship between transportation infrastructure and total factor productivity (TFP)growth in China with the spatial econometrics of panel data.The results of the empirical study show that there is anobvious spatial autocorrelation among China’s interlocal TFP from 1997 to 2007.Transportation infrastructure hasa positive impact on TFP in China; the addition of railway and road infrastructure caused China’s TFP to increase11.075 percentage points from 2001-07, making up 59.10% of TFP’s amplification.Freeways and first-class roadinfrastructure’s positive impacts are more obvious; direct effects are only 25.7% while indirect effects are 74.3%.Railinfrastructure had persistent positive impacts on China’s TFP from 2001-07; freeway infrastructure had persistentpositive impacts on China’s TFP from 1997-2007, but other road infrastructure has not shown these persistent effects.

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What this paper is about

This paper analyzes the relationship between transportation infrastructure and total factor productivity (TFP)growth in China with the spatial econometrics of panel data.The results of the empirical study show that there is anobvious spatial autocorrelation among China’s interlocal TFP from 1997 to 2007.Transportation infrastructure hasa positive impact on TFP in China; the addition of railway and road infrastructure caused China’s TFP to increase11.075 percentage points from 2001-07, making up 59.10% of TFP’s amplification.Freeways and first-class roadinfrastructure’s positive impacts are more obvious; direct effects are only 25.7% while indirect effects are 74.3%.Railinfrastructure had persistent positive impacts on China’s TFP from 2001-07; freeway infrastructure had persistentpositive impacts on China’s TFP from 1997-2007, but other road infrastructure has not shown these persistent effects.

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Available abstract

This paper analyzes the relationship between transportation infrastructure and total factor productivity (TFP)growth in China with the spatial econometrics of panel data.The results of the empirical study show that there is anobvious spatial autocorrelation among China’s interlocal TFP from 1997 to 2007.Transportation infrastructure hasa positive impact on TFP in China; the addition of railway and road infrastructure caused China’s TFP to increase11.075 percentage points from 2001-07, making up 59.10% of TFP’s amplification.Freeways and first-class roadinfrastructure’s positive impacts are more obvious; direct effects are only 25.7% while indirect effects are 74.3%.Railinfrastructure had persistent positive impacts on China’s TFP from 2001-07; freeway infrastructure had persistentpositive impacts on China’s TFP from 1997-2007, but other road infrastructure has not shown these persistent effects.

Key concepts: Total factor productivity, China, Panel data, Economics, Productivity, Transportation infrastructure, Index (typography), Economic geography

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