2005RePEc: Research Papers in EconomicsRequires access

The Effects of Foreign Trade Liberalization and Financial Flows between Slovenia and the EU after the Accession

Boris Majcen, Miroslav Verbič, Sasa Knezevic

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Abstract

The new version of the CGE model of the Slovenian economy, based on the 1998 SAM, was used for simulations of the consequences of further foreign trade liberalization after 1998 as the outcome of the finished processes of implementation of Free Trade Agreements and the European Agreement, adaptation of the Customs Tariff to the EU Common External Tariff for the manufacturing products, adoption of the EU Common External Tariff after the accession of Slovenia to the EU as well as the estimated transfers between both budgets. Results obtained show a positive net outcome of the Slovenian accession to the EU in the long run. On the other hand, rational behaviour of the government will certainly moderate possible short run negative effects and improve favourable long run effects.

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What this paper is about

The new version of the CGE model of the Slovenian economy, based on the 1998 SAM, was used for simulations of the consequences of further foreign trade liberalization after 1998 as the outcome of the finished processes of implementation of Free Trade Agreements and the European Agreement, adaptation of the Customs Tariff to the EU Common External Tariff for the manufacturing products, adoption of the EU Common External Tariff after the accession of Slovenia to the EU as well as the estimated transfers between both budgets. Results obtained show a positive net outcome of the Slovenian accession to the EU in the long run. On the other hand, rational behaviour of the government will certainly moderate possible short run negative effects and improve favourable long run effects.

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Available abstract

The new version of the CGE model of the Slovenian economy, based on the 1998 SAM, was used for simulations of the consequences of further foreign trade liberalization after 1998 as the outcome of the finished processes of implementation of Free Trade Agreements and the European Agreement, adaptation of the Customs Tariff to the EU Common External Tariff for the manufacturing products, adoption of the EU Common External Tariff after the accession of Slovenia to the EU as well as the estimated transfers between both budgets. Results obtained show a positive net outcome of the Slovenian accession to the EU in the long run. On the other hand, rational behaviour of the government will certainly moderate possible short run negative effects and improve favourable long run effects.

Key concepts: Accession, Tariff, Computable general equilibrium, International economics, Liberalization, Free trade, European union, Economics

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