2013RePEc: Research Papers in EconomicsRequires access

Corporate sector currency mismatch in Hungary

Marianna Endrész, Győző Gyöngyösi, Péter Harasztosi

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Abstract

Our analysis of micro data shows that the size of unhedged foreign currency lending has become significant not just in the household sector, but in the corporate sector as well. The weight of foreign currency debtors without net foreign currency income was significant prior to the crisis. During the crisis - as a result of the exchange rate depreciation - the performance of foreign currency debtors was worse in relative terms. There was a greater increase in their probability of default and a stronger fall in their investment, while their access to the loan market also deteriorated more.

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Our analysis of micro data shows that the size of unhedged foreign currency lending has become significant not just in the household sector, but in the corporate sector as well. The weight of foreign currency debtors without net foreign currency income was significant prior to the crisis. During the crisis - as a result of the exchange rate depreciation - the performance of foreign currency debtors was worse in relative terms. There was a greater increase in their probability of default and a stronger fall in their investment, while their access to the loan market also deteriorated more.

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Available abstract

Our analysis of micro data shows that the size of unhedged foreign currency lending has become significant not just in the household sector, but in the corporate sector as well. The weight of foreign currency debtors without net foreign currency income was significant prior to the crisis. During the crisis - as a result of the exchange rate depreciation - the performance of foreign currency debtors was worse in relative terms. There was a greater increase in their probability of default and a stronger fall in their investment, while their access to the loan market also deteriorated more.

Key concepts: Depreciation (economics), Currency, Foreign exchange risk, Monetary economics, Currency crisis, Devaluation, Exchange rate, Economics

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