2015RePEc: Research Papers in EconomicsOpen access

Stock Price Discovery in Earnings Season

Qi Sun

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Abstract

This study investigates whether the timing of earnings announcement in earnings season affects stock price discovery process. This paper documents that market reaction is more favorable for earnings announcements made at the beginning of earnings season (timing effect). Price reaction on earnings announcement dates and post-announcement price drift are significantly stronger for positive earnings surprises released at the beginning of earnings season. Negative earnings surprises announced at the end of earnings season have the most pronounced post-announcement price decline. The timing effect associated with positive earnings surprises is consistent with industry information transfer theory. The timing effect associated with negative earnings surprise is mainly driven by market penalty on companies’ strategic delay of bad news announcements

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What this paper is about

This study investigates whether the timing of earnings announcement in earnings season affects stock price discovery process. This paper documents that market reaction is more favorable for earnings announcements made at the beginning of earnings season (timing effect). Price reaction on earnings announcement dates and post-announcement price drift are significantly stronger for positive earnings surprises released at the beginning of earnings season. Negative earnings surprises announced at the end of earnings season have the most pronounced post-announcement price decline. The timing effect associated with positive earnings surprises is consistent with industry information transfer theory. The timing effect associated with negative earnings surprise is mainly driven by market penalty on companies’ strategic delay of bad news announcements

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Available abstract

This study investigates whether the timing of earnings announcement in earnings season affects stock price discovery process. This paper documents that market reaction is more favorable for earnings announcements made at the beginning of earnings season (timing effect). Price reaction on earnings announcement dates and post-announcement price drift are significantly stronger for positive earnings surprises released at the beginning of earnings season. Negative earnings surprises announced at the end of earnings season have the most pronounced post-announcement price decline. The timing effect associated with positive earnings surprises is consistent with industry information transfer theory. The timing effect associated with negative earnings surprise is mainly driven by market penalty on companies’ strategic delay of bad news announcements

Key concepts: Earnings surprise, Earnings, Post-earnings-announcement drift, Earnings response coefficient, Price discovery, Stock price, Price–earnings ratio, Stock (firearms)

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