2007DIGITAL.CSIC (Spanish National Research Council (CSIC))Open access

An analytical assessment of NAFO roughhead grenadier Subareas 2 and 3 stock.

F. González-Costas, Hilário Murua

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Abstract

Catch and research survey data from 1992-2005 on the roughhead grenadier stock in NAFO Subareas 2 and 3 are \nfitted to the eXtended Survivors Analysis (XSA) model. \nThe model results indicated that the stock biomass has been increasing from 1996 to 2005. The biomass estimated \nfor the beginning of 2005 was around 70.000 tonnes, the highest in the time series. Fishing mortality has declined \nsince 1999 and showed the lowest value in the time series in 2005. Over the last few years, there have been two \nyears with very good recruitment at age 3, which may increase the exploitable biomass in the future. The assessment \nresults showed that the current roughhead grenadier Subarea 2 and 3 stock status is healthy. \nWhile the analysis indicated that there was a clear retrospective pattern in the model estimates (i.e., fishing mortality \nbeing underestimated and total biomass overestimated), the sensitivity analysis showed that the results were robust \nto the model set up. \nAlthough the short time series available, in addition to the wide age composition of this species, the low fishing \nmortality level estimate by XSA and the lack of convergence in the retrospective analyses, the results showed that \nthe XSA model adequately fitted the data and that the XSA estimated trends are similar to those observed by \nresearch surveys. Therefore, it could be concluded that this assessment model may be an appropriate tool to be used \nin the quantitative assessment of the roughhead grenadier stock in NAFO Subareas 2 and 3.

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Catch and research survey data from 1992-2005 on the roughhead grenadier stock in NAFO Subareas 2 and 3 are \nfitted to the eXtended Survivors Analysis (XSA) model. \nThe model results indicated that the stock biomass has been increasing from 1996 to 2005. The biomass estimated \nfor the beginning of 2005 was around 70.000 tonnes, the highest in the time series. Fishing mortality has declined \nsince 1999 and showed the lowest value in the time series in 2005. Over the last few years, there have been two \nyears with very good recruitment at age 3, which may increase the exploitable biomass in the future. The assessment \nresults showed that the current roughhead grenadier Subarea 2 and 3 stock status is healthy. \nWhile the analysis indicated that there was a clear retrospective pattern in the model estimates (i.e., fishing mortality \nbeing underestimated and total biomass overestimated), the sensitivity analysis showed that the results were robust \nto the model set up. \nAlthough the short time series available, in addition to the wide age composition of this species, the low fishing \nmortality level estimate by XSA and the lack of convergence in the retrospective analyses, the results showed that \nthe XSA model adequately fitted the data and that the XSA estimated trends are similar to those observed by \nresearch surveys. Therefore, it could be concluded that this assessment model may be an appropriate tool to be used \nin the quantitative assessment of the roughhead grenadier stock in NAFO Subareas 2 and 3.

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Available abstract

Catch and research survey data from 1992-2005 on the roughhead grenadier stock in NAFO Subareas 2 and 3 are \nfitted to the eXtended Survivors Analysis (XSA) model. \nThe model results indicated that the stock biomass has been increasing from 1996 to 2005. The biomass estimated \nfor the beginning of 2005 was around 70.000 tonnes, the highest in the time series. Fishing mortality has declined \nsince 1999 and showed the lowest value in the time series in 2005. Over the last few years, there have been two \nyears with very good recruitment at age 3, which may increase the exploitable biomass in the future. The assessment \nresults showed that the current roughhead grenadier Subarea 2 and 3 stock status is healthy. \nWhile the analysis indicated that there was a clear retrospective pattern in the model estimates (i.e., fishing mortality \nbeing underestimated and total biomass overestimated), the sensitivity analysis showed that the results were robust \nto the model set up. \nAlthough the short time series available, in addition to the wide age composition of this species, the low fishing \nmortality level estimate by XSA and the lack of convergence in the retrospective analyses, the results showed that \nthe XSA model adequately fitted the data and that the XSA estimated trends are similar to those observed by \nresearch surveys. Therefore, it could be concluded that this assessment model may be an appropriate tool to be used \nin the quantitative assessment of the roughhead grenadier stock in NAFO Subareas 2 and 3.

Key concepts: Fishing, Stock assessment, Stock (firearms), Fishery, Geography, Environmental science, Demography, Biology

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