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2015•International Journal of Economics and FinanceOpen access

Foreign Direct Investment, Exports, and Long-Run Economic Growth in Asia: Panel Cointegration and Causality Analysis

Seng Sothan

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Abstract

This paper examines the co-movement and causal impact of foreign direct investment (FDI) and exports on economic growth in 21 Asian countries over the period 1980 to 2013, using the panel cointegration and Granger causality analysis. Findings strongly confirm that there is a long-run steady-state relationship between FDI, exports, and GDP for the selected countries. Based on the panel Granger causality analysis, there is long-run bidirectional causality between FDI and GDP and between exports and GDP. This can be concluded that FDI and exports do have causal impact on long-run growth in the countries being investigated.

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What this paper is about

This paper examines the co-movement and causal impact of foreign direct investment (FDI) and exports on economic growth in 21 Asian countries over the period 1980 to 2013, using the panel cointegration and Granger causality analysis. Findings strongly confirm that there is a long-run steady-state relationship between FDI, exports, and GDP for the selected countries. Based on the panel Granger causality analysis, there is long-run bidirectional causality between FDI and GDP and between exports and GDP. This can be concluded that FDI and exports do have causal impact on long-run growth in the countries being investigated.

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Available abstract

This paper examines the co-movement and causal impact of foreign direct investment (FDI) and exports on economic growth in 21 Asian countries over the period 1980 to 2013, using the panel cointegration and Granger causality analysis. Findings strongly confirm that there is a long-run steady-state relationship between FDI, exports, and GDP for the selected countries. Based on the panel Granger causality analysis, there is long-run bidirectional causality between FDI and GDP and between exports and GDP. This can be concluded that FDI and exports do have causal impact on long-run growth in the countries being investigated.

Key concepts: Cointegration, Foreign direct investment, Economics, Causality (physics), Granger causality, Monetary economics, Panel analysis, Panel data

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