Macroeconomic Uncertainty, Consumer Sentiments, Consumption Expenditures And US Fixed Private Investment Growth
Rexford Abaidoo
Abstract
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Rexford Abaidoo
Abstract
Open-access reader
Using Johansen Cointegration and Error Correction frameworks, as well as Granger Causality test Procedures, this study analyze both short and long-run relationships, and direction of causal association between US fixed private investment growth and selected explanatory variables. Test results based on quarterly time series data spanning the period (1960 -2010) shows deviations from equilibrium in fixed private investment growth tend to be corrected relatively faster than this study expected. This study also finds significant long-run and causal relationships between macroeconomic uncertainty, consumer sentiments, growth in consumption expenditures, and US fixed private investment growth.
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Using Johansen Cointegration and Error Correction frameworks, as well as Granger Causality test Procedures, this study analyze both short and long-run relationships, and direction of causal association between US fixed private investment growth and selected explanatory variables. Test results based on quarterly time series data spanning the period (1960 -2010) shows deviations from equilibrium in fixed private investment growth tend to be corrected relatively faster than this study expected. This study also finds significant long-run and causal relationships between macroeconomic uncertainty, consumer sentiments, growth in consumption expenditures, and US fixed private investment growth.
Key concepts: Economics, Consumption (sociology), Investment (military), Cointegration, Econometrics, Error correction model, Style (visual arts), Granger causality