2010International Journal of Monetary Economics and FinanceRequires access

North Africa stock markets: analysis of long memory and persistence of shocks

Ibrahim Onour

Open publisher page 8 citations

Abstract

This paper investigates long-memory behaviour of stock returns of Egypt, Tunisa and Morrocco stock markets using daily stock price data. Results in the paper support evidence of stationary short-memory process for the returns of the three markets. Short memory of stock returns implies that most recent lagged returns have more predictive power for future returns than long-term factors. It is also indicated in the paper that stock returns volatility behave as a short-memory process. Short-memory behaviour of volatility indicates that the effect of a shock to volatility tends to dissipate within a short period of time.

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What this paper is about

This paper investigates long-memory behaviour of stock returns of Egypt, Tunisa and Morrocco stock markets using daily stock price data. Results in the paper support evidence of stationary short-memory process for the returns of the three markets. Short memory of stock returns implies that most recent lagged returns have more predictive power for future returns than long-term factors. It is also indicated in the paper that stock returns volatility behave as a short-memory process. Short-memory behaviour of volatility indicates that the effect of a shock to volatility tends to dissipate within a short period of time.

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Available abstract

This paper investigates long-memory behaviour of stock returns of Egypt, Tunisa and Morrocco stock markets using daily stock price data. Results in the paper support evidence of stationary short-memory process for the returns of the three markets. Short memory of stock returns implies that most recent lagged returns have more predictive power for future returns than long-term factors. It is also indicated in the paper that stock returns volatility behave as a short-memory process. Short-memory behaviour of volatility indicates that the effect of a shock to volatility tends to dissipate within a short period of time.

Key concepts: Stock (firearms), Volatility (finance), Long memory, Economics, Stock market bubble, Econometrics, Monetary economics, Financial economics

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