2015Statistics and Its InterfaceOpen access

Approximate integrated likelihood via ABC methods

Clara Grazian, Brunero Liseo

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Abstract

We propose a novel use of a recent new computational tool for Bayesian inference, namely the Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methodology.ABC is a way to handle models for which the likelihood function may be intractable or even unavailable and/or too costly to evaluate; in particular, we consider the problem of eliminating the nuisance parameters from a complex statistical model in order to produce a likelihood function depending on the quantity of interest only.Given a proper prior for the entire vector parameter, we propose to approximate the integrated likelihood by the ratio of kernel estimators of the marginal posterior and prior for the quantity of interest.We present several examples.

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What this paper is about

We propose a novel use of a recent new computational tool for Bayesian inference, namely the Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methodology.ABC is a way to handle models for which the likelihood function may be intractable or even unavailable and/or too costly to evaluate; in particular, we consider the problem of eliminating the nuisance parameters from a complex statistical model in order to produce a likelihood function depending on the quantity of interest only.Given a proper prior for the entire vector parameter, we propose to approximate the integrated likelihood by the ratio of kernel estimators of the marginal posterior and prior for the quantity of interest.We present several examples.

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Available abstract

We propose a novel use of a recent new computational tool for Bayesian inference, namely the Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methodology.ABC is a way to handle models for which the likelihood function may be intractable or even unavailable and/or too costly to evaluate; in particular, we consider the problem of eliminating the nuisance parameters from a complex statistical model in order to produce a likelihood function depending on the quantity of interest only.Given a proper prior for the entire vector parameter, we propose to approximate the integrated likelihood by the ratio of kernel estimators of the marginal posterior and prior for the quantity of interest.We present several examples.

Key concepts: Approximate Bayesian computation, Marginal likelihood, Likelihood function, Computer science, Estimator, Kernel (algebra), Nuisance parameter, Inference

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