Financial vulnerability of mortgage owners and mortgage lenders
Maarten van Rooij
Abstract
Maarten van Rooij
Abstract
From a macroeconomic point of view, Dutch households are in a basically sound financial position.Nevertheless, at a microeconomic level substantial financial risks may exist. This report presents a profile of the most vulnerable households with special attention to the mortgage debt/house value ratio and the mortgage debt/household income ratio. The affordability of housing costs for households with a mortgage is assessed in the case of an increase in mortgage interest rates, a decline in house prices and a rise in unemployment. The risk that banks and other mortgage lenders may suffer infection of their mortgage portfolios - i.e. that the proceeds from sale of the house are insufficient to repay the mortgage loan - is also discussed.
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From a macroeconomic point of view, Dutch households are in a basically sound financial position.Nevertheless, at a microeconomic level substantial financial risks may exist. This report presents a profile of the most vulnerable households with special attention to the mortgage debt/house value ratio and the mortgage debt/household income ratio. The affordability of housing costs for households with a mortgage is assessed in the case of an increase in mortgage interest rates, a decline in house prices and a rise in unemployment. The risk that banks and other mortgage lenders may suffer infection of their mortgage portfolios - i.e. that the proceeds from sale of the house are insufficient to repay the mortgage loan - is also discussed.
Key concepts: Mortgage underwriting, Shared appreciation mortgage, Mortgage insurance, Secondary mortgage market, Loan-to-value ratio, Collateralized mortgage obligation, Debt, Business