2000Applied Economics LettersRequires access

Seasonal adjustment and the univariate testing of asymmetry

Steven Cook

Open publisher page 2 citations

Abstract

Following Holly and Stannett, a standard approach has emerged in the implementation of Sichel's tests of business cycle asymmetry, whereby seasonally adjusted data is detrended via Hodrick-Prescott filtering. While Speight and MacMillan have considered the impact of alternative methods of detrending upon these tests, the role of seasonal adjustment has yet to be examined. In this letter the impact of seasonal adjustment is examined by means of an application to durable, non-durable and aggregate UK consumers' expenditure. Whereas alternative means of detrending most noticeably effect the deepness test and its significance, alternative methods of seasonal adjustment are shown to primarily effect the steepness statistic and its size.

About this research paper

What this paper is about

Following Holly and Stannett, a standard approach has emerged in the implementation of Sichel's tests of business cycle asymmetry, whereby seasonally adjusted data is detrended via Hodrick-Prescott filtering. While Speight and MacMillan have considered the impact of alternative methods of detrending upon these tests, the role of seasonal adjustment has yet to be examined. In this letter the impact of seasonal adjustment is examined by means of an application to durable, non-durable and aggregate UK consumers' expenditure. Whereas alternative means of detrending most noticeably effect the deepness test and its significance, alternative methods of seasonal adjustment are shown to primarily effect the steepness statistic and its size.

Why it matters

OpenAlex reports 2 citations for this work. Citation counts describe recorded attention and do not establish research quality.

Key contribution

A contribution statement is not available in the OpenAlex record.

Method / approach

Method details are not available in the OpenAlex metadata.

Main findings

Findings are not separately available in the OpenAlex metadata.

Limitations

Limitations are not available in the OpenAlex metadata.

Applications

Application details are not available in the OpenAlex metadata.

Available abstract

Following Holly and Stannett, a standard approach has emerged in the implementation of Sichel's tests of business cycle asymmetry, whereby seasonally adjusted data is detrended via Hodrick-Prescott filtering. While Speight and MacMillan have considered the impact of alternative methods of detrending upon these tests, the role of seasonal adjustment has yet to be examined. In this letter the impact of seasonal adjustment is examined by means of an application to durable, non-durable and aggregate UK consumers' expenditure. Whereas alternative means of detrending most noticeably effect the deepness test and its significance, alternative methods of seasonal adjustment are shown to primarily effect the steepness statistic and its size.

Key concepts: Univariate, Econometrics, Seasonal adjustment, Statistic, Economics, Business cycle, Statistics, Asymmetry

Related papers

Back to paper searchBrowse research topicsOriginal source
Seasonal adjustment and the univariate testing of asymmetry — Research Paper | ScholarLens