Land-Use Change and Prediction in Shandong Province

In this paper, with reference to the relevant land data of Shandong Province in 1996-2013, a comprehensive index of land-use degree and methods of land-use dynamic degree were adopted to analyze the characteristic of the change of land-use in Shandong Province. Simultaneously, the grey forecast model was used to make a forecast using the situation of various land types in the next 10 years of Shandong Province. Results showed that:(1) The land use structure of Shandong Province changed in 2000-2012. The proportion of farming land increased from 66% to 68% and construction land increased from 23% to 27%, while the percentage of unused land decreased from 11% to 5%; (2) From 2000 to 2012, the comprehensive index of land use increased from 351.7 to 376.1; and (3) The land use structure of Shandong Province was predicted to trend toward good and stable development from 2013 to 2022.