Introduction to importance sampling in rare-event simulations
Mark Denny
Abstract
Open-access reader
Mark Denny
Abstract
Open-access reader
Monte Carlo simulations are an important tool in modern-day studies of many physical systems. Where unlikely events are to be simulated, the importance sampling technique can considerably ease the processing burdon, without compromising statistical significance. Here a comparison of importance sampling and standard Monte Carlo simulations is given. Emphasis is on variance reduction, and on the simulation gain of importance sampling, which is calculated explicitly for a simple example.
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Monte Carlo simulations are an important tool in modern-day studies of many physical systems. Where unlikely events are to be simulated, the importance sampling technique can considerably ease the processing burdon, without compromising statistical significance. Here a comparison of importance sampling and standard Monte Carlo simulations is given. Emphasis is on variance reduction, and on the simulation gain of importance sampling, which is calculated explicitly for a simple example.
Key concepts: Variance reduction, Rare events, Monte Carlo method, Sampling (signal processing), Statistical physics, Importance sampling, Physics, Variance (accounting)