China's Future Population: Predictions and Prospects
Kepei Men, Linlin Guan, Lingyun Jia
Abstract
Kepei Men, Linlin Guan, Lingyun Jia
Abstract
Based on the 1949–2004 statistics, models of grey increment and grey growth rate are used to predict the population of China up to the year 2050. Evidence shows that at the end of 2005, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040 and 2050 the total population will reach 1.3068, 1.336, 1.372, 1.391, 1.401 and 1.406 billion, respectively. In the last decade the annual increase is predicted to be less than 460,000 people, showing an almost zero growth.
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Based on the 1949–2004 statistics, models of grey increment and grey growth rate are used to predict the population of China up to the year 2050. Evidence shows that at the end of 2005, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040 and 2050 the total population will reach 1.3068, 1.336, 1.372, 1.391, 1.401 and 1.406 billion, respectively. In the last decade the annual increase is predicted to be less than 460,000 people, showing an almost zero growth.
Key concepts: China, Population, Development economics, Economic growth, Geography, Economics, Demography, Sociology