2005Population reviewRequires access

China's Future Population: Predictions and Prospects

Kepei Men, Linlin Guan, Lingyun Jia

Open publisher page 10 citations

Abstract

Based on the 1949–2004 statistics, models of grey increment and grey growth rate are used to predict the population of China up to the year 2050. Evidence shows that at the end of 2005, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040 and 2050 the total population will reach 1.3068, 1.336, 1.372, 1.391, 1.401 and 1.406 billion, respectively. In the last decade the annual increase is predicted to be less than 460,000 people, showing an almost zero growth.

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What this paper is about

Based on the 1949–2004 statistics, models of grey increment and grey growth rate are used to predict the population of China up to the year 2050. Evidence shows that at the end of 2005, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040 and 2050 the total population will reach 1.3068, 1.336, 1.372, 1.391, 1.401 and 1.406 billion, respectively. In the last decade the annual increase is predicted to be less than 460,000 people, showing an almost zero growth.

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Available abstract

Based on the 1949–2004 statistics, models of grey increment and grey growth rate are used to predict the population of China up to the year 2050. Evidence shows that at the end of 2005, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040 and 2050 the total population will reach 1.3068, 1.336, 1.372, 1.391, 1.401 and 1.406 billion, respectively. In the last decade the annual increase is predicted to be less than 460,000 people, showing an almost zero growth.

Key concepts: China, Population, Development economics, Economic growth, Geography, Economics, Demography, Sociology

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