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1994•Applied Economics LettersOpen access

A reappraisal of parity reversion for UK real exchange rates

Nuno Crato, Philip Rothman

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Abstract

We apply a new approach to test the long-run purchasing power parity theory of real exchange rate movements for the UK. The question of whether real exchange rates have a unit root or are mean reverting is set in the more general framework of fractionally differenced time-series models. Our results suggest that in the current period of floating rates, UK real exchange rates return to parity in the long run.

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What this paper is about

We apply a new approach to test the long-run purchasing power parity theory of real exchange rate movements for the UK. The question of whether real exchange rates have a unit root or are mean reverting is set in the more general framework of fractionally differenced time-series models. Our results suggest that in the current period of floating rates, UK real exchange rates return to parity in the long run.

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Available abstract

We apply a new approach to test the long-run purchasing power parity theory of real exchange rate movements for the UK. The question of whether real exchange rates have a unit root or are mean reverting is set in the more general framework of fractionally differenced time-series models. Our results suggest that in the current period of floating rates, UK real exchange rates return to parity in the long run.

Key concepts: Purchasing power parity, Mean reversion, Relative purchasing power parity, Economics, Econometrics, Exchange rate, Interest rate parity, Unit root

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