1990National Bureau of Economic ResearchOpen access

Riding the Yield Curve: Reprise

Robin Grieves, Alan J. Marcus

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Abstract

REFiISEWe investigate the efficacy of riding the yield curve.This strategy dictates holding longer-term treasury bills when the yield curve is upward- sloping.We find that the strategy is surprisingly effective.it stochastically dominates buying and holding shorter-term bills for large subperiods, and nearly dominates for the entire sample period, 1949 -1988.Our empirical results suggest that abnormal profit opportunities are available from selectively increasing the maturity of a short-term portfolio.

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REFiISEWe investigate the efficacy of riding the yield curve.This strategy dictates holding longer-term treasury bills when the yield curve is upward- sloping.We find that the strategy is surprisingly effective.it stochastically dominates buying and holding shorter-term bills for large subperiods, and nearly dominates for the entire sample period, 1949 -1988.Our empirical results suggest that abnormal profit opportunities are available from selectively increasing the maturity of a short-term portfolio.

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Available abstract

REFiISEWe investigate the efficacy of riding the yield curve.This strategy dictates holding longer-term treasury bills when the yield curve is upward- sloping.We find that the strategy is surprisingly effective.it stochastically dominates buying and holding shorter-term bills for large subperiods, and nearly dominates for the entire sample period, 1949 -1988.Our empirical results suggest that abnormal profit opportunities are available from selectively increasing the maturity of a short-term portfolio.

Key concepts: Yield curve, Treasury, Economics, Portfolio, Term (time), Yield (engineering), Profit (economics), Econometrics

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