Martingale Methods in Financial Decision-Making
A. G. Malliaris
Abstract
A. G. Malliaris
Abstract
This paper presents an introduction to martingale theory by stating some basic definitions and presenting some probabilistic examples. Afterwards, we illustrate the use of martingale methods in economics and finance. In particular, we present applications of martingale methods in futures pricing, in stochastic present discounted value of capitalization and in intertemporal stochastic optimization. The main conclusion of this paper is that martingale methods have been applied as useful techniques in decision-making problems in economics and finance.
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This paper presents an introduction to martingale theory by stating some basic definitions and presenting some probabilistic examples. Afterwards, we illustrate the use of martingale methods in economics and finance. In particular, we present applications of martingale methods in futures pricing, in stochastic present discounted value of capitalization and in intertemporal stochastic optimization. The main conclusion of this paper is that martingale methods have been applied as useful techniques in decision-making problems in economics and finance.
Key concepts: Martingale pricing, Martingale (probability theory), Mathematical economics, Probabilistic logic, Doob's martingale inequality, Futures contract, Economics, Local martingale