2008European Journal of FinanceRequires access

Stochastic volatility in the Spanish stock market: a long memory model with a structural break

Luis A. Gil‐Alana, Juncal Cuñado, Fernando Pérez de Gracia

Open publisher page 3 citations

Abstract

In this paper, we examine the stochastic volatility behaviour in the Spanish stock market returns over the time period 2 January 2001 – 12 May 2006. We use a long memory model that takes into account the existence of an endogenous structural break. When no breaks are taken into account the results show that the orders of integration of the absolute and squared return values (which are used as proxies of volatility) are higher than 0 but smaller than 0.5, implying that the stochastic volatility is stationary but long memory. If a break is considered, long memory is also found in the two sub-samples, with higher orders of integration before the break, which takes place at around 2003 for the IBEX, and at 2004 for the less liquid assets IGBM.

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What this paper is about

In this paper, we examine the stochastic volatility behaviour in the Spanish stock market returns over the time period 2 January 2001 – 12 May 2006. We use a long memory model that takes into account the existence of an endogenous structural break. When no breaks are taken into account the results show that the orders of integration of the absolute and squared return values (which are used as proxies of volatility) are higher than 0 but smaller than 0.5, implying that the stochastic volatility is stationary but long memory. If a break is considered, long memory is also found in the two sub-samples, with higher orders of integration before the break, which takes place at around 2003 for the IBEX, and at 2004 for the less liquid assets IGBM.

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Available abstract

In this paper, we examine the stochastic volatility behaviour in the Spanish stock market returns over the time period 2 January 2001 – 12 May 2006. We use a long memory model that takes into account the existence of an endogenous structural break. When no breaks are taken into account the results show that the orders of integration of the absolute and squared return values (which are used as proxies of volatility) are higher than 0 but smaller than 0.5, implying that the stochastic volatility is stationary but long memory. If a break is considered, long memory is also found in the two sub-samples, with higher orders of integration before the break, which takes place at around 2003 for the IBEX, and at 2004 for the less liquid assets IGBM.

Key concepts: Long memory, Volatility (finance), Stochastic volatility, Structural break, Econometrics, Economics, Stock (firearms), Implied volatility

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