Exact inference in the inequality constrained normal linear regression model
John F Geweke
Abstract
John F Geweke
Abstract
Abstract Inference in the inequality constrained normal linear regression model is approached as a problem in Bayesian inference, using a prior that is the product of a conventional uninformative distribution and an indicator function representing the inequality constraints. The posterior distribution is calculated using Monte Carlo numerical integration, which leads directly to the evaluation of expected values of functions of interest. This approach is compared with others that have been proposed. Three empirical examples illustrate the utility of the proposed methods using an inexpensive 32‐bit microcomputer.
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Abstract Inference in the inequality constrained normal linear regression model is approached as a problem in Bayesian inference, using a prior that is the product of a conventional uninformative distribution and an indicator function representing the inequality constraints. The posterior distribution is calculated using Monte Carlo numerical integration, which leads directly to the evaluation of expected values of functions of interest. This approach is compared with others that have been proposed. Three empirical examples illustrate the utility of the proposed methods using an inexpensive 32‐bit microcomputer.
Key concepts: Inference, Bayesian linear regression, Bayesian inference, Mathematics, Econometrics, Monte Carlo method, Bayesian probability, Statistical inference