2003Applied EconomicsRequires access

Spurious rejections by cointegration tests induced by structural breaks

Stephen J. Leybourne, Paul Newbold

Open publisher page 133 citations

Abstract

The effects on three cointegration tests are examined when the series analysed are independent integrated processes, each with a structural break. Although there are differences in detail among the tests, the results indicate in all cases that, when structural breaks are neglected in the analysis, spurious rejections, indicating the presence of cointegration, can occur.

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What this paper is about

The effects on three cointegration tests are examined when the series analysed are independent integrated processes, each with a structural break. Although there are differences in detail among the tests, the results indicate in all cases that, when structural breaks are neglected in the analysis, spurious rejections, indicating the presence of cointegration, can occur.

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Available abstract

The effects on three cointegration tests are examined when the series analysed are independent integrated processes, each with a structural break. Although there are differences in detail among the tests, the results indicate in all cases that, when structural breaks are neglected in the analysis, spurious rejections, indicating the presence of cointegration, can occur.

Key concepts: Cointegration, Spurious relationship, Econometrics, Structural break, Economics, Series (stratigraphy), Statistics, Mathematics

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