1974Transportation Planning and TechnologyRequires access

Traffic forecasting by the method of logical limits

Victor Hiesz

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Abstract

Towns with underdeveloped built up areas and traffic do not provide sufficient base data for a realistic traffic forecast. By the proposed theory future traffic volumes may be predicted from surveys of land use, national and household incomes, standard of living projections and home interviews. Future traffic demands can be assessed by reasonable limits, considering both upper and lower logical limit‐values of the development possibilities. This method has been developed and employed in drawing up the land use—transportation plan of a Nigerian town.

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What this paper is about

Towns with underdeveloped built up areas and traffic do not provide sufficient base data for a realistic traffic forecast. By the proposed theory future traffic volumes may be predicted from surveys of land use, national and household incomes, standard of living projections and home interviews. Future traffic demands can be assessed by reasonable limits, considering both upper and lower logical limit‐values of the development possibilities. This method has been developed and employed in drawing up the land use—transportation plan of a Nigerian town.

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Available abstract

Towns with underdeveloped built up areas and traffic do not provide sufficient base data for a realistic traffic forecast. By the proposed theory future traffic volumes may be predicted from surveys of land use, national and household incomes, standard of living projections and home interviews. Future traffic demands can be assessed by reasonable limits, considering both upper and lower logical limit‐values of the development possibilities. This method has been developed and employed in drawing up the land use—transportation plan of a Nigerian town.

Key concepts: Transport engineering, Plan (archaeology), Speed limit, Land use, Limit (mathematics), Trip generation, Operations research, Computer science

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