2007Nordic PsychologyRequires access

Regression to the mean effect: When to be concerned and how to correct for it

Tine Nielsen, Benny Karpatschof, Svend Kreiner

Open publisher page 19 citations

Abstract

The paper deals with the problem of regression to the mean when testing hypotheses of change dependent on the level of the measure of interest at the time of the first measurement in longitudinal studies. The paper includes: A discussion on the nature of regression to the mean and when to be aware of it in relation to different fields of psychological research. An example of the severe implications regression to the mean can have for interpretation of results, based on Nielsen’s research on changes in the learning styles of Danish university students. Finally, a relatively easy way to correct for regression to the mean in connection with paired sample t-tests of no change for persons with either low or high scores at the first measurement is demonstrated.

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What this paper is about

The paper deals with the problem of regression to the mean when testing hypotheses of change dependent on the level of the measure of interest at the time of the first measurement in longitudinal studies. The paper includes: A discussion on the nature of regression to the mean and when to be aware of it in relation to different fields of psychological research. An example of the severe implications regression to the mean can have for interpretation of results, based on Nielsen’s research on changes in the learning styles of Danish university students. Finally, a relatively easy way to correct for regression to the mean in connection with paired sample t-tests of no change for persons with either low or high scores at the first measurement is demonstrated.

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OpenAlex reports 19 citations for this work. Citation counts describe recorded attention and do not establish research quality.

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Available abstract

The paper deals with the problem of regression to the mean when testing hypotheses of change dependent on the level of the measure of interest at the time of the first measurement in longitudinal studies. The paper includes: A discussion on the nature of regression to the mean and when to be aware of it in relation to different fields of psychological research. An example of the severe implications regression to the mean can have for interpretation of results, based on Nielsen’s research on changes in the learning styles of Danish university students. Finally, a relatively easy way to correct for regression to the mean in connection with paired sample t-tests of no change for persons with either low or high scores at the first measurement is demonstrated.

Key concepts: Regression toward the mean, Psychology, Regression, Regression analysis, Interpretation (philosophy), Danish, Statistics, Sample (material)

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