Forecast of precipitation in the area of Bogashevo airport using the WRF model
Lubov I. Kizhner, N. K. Barashkova, A. S. Akhmetshina, Andrey A. Bart, Alexander V. Starchenko
Abstract
Lubov I. Kizhner, N. K. Barashkova, A. S. Akhmetshina, Andrey A. Bart, Alexander V. Starchenko
Abstract
Numerical simulation results obtained for meteorological conditions in the area of Bogashevo airport and the city of Tomsk using the Weather Research & Forecasting (WRF) mesoscale system are presented. The main attention is paid to choosing the parameterization of microphysical processes adequate for conditions of Western Siberia with the aim to obtain a reliable forecast of intense rainfalls. The performed comparison of predicted and factual data on precipitation and cloudiness demonstrated good possibilities of the model for forecasting precipitation and dangerous events for aviation. The ETA microphysics parameterization yielded the best results.
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Numerical simulation results obtained for meteorological conditions in the area of Bogashevo airport and the city of Tomsk using the Weather Research & Forecasting (WRF) mesoscale system are presented. The main attention is paid to choosing the parameterization of microphysical processes adequate for conditions of Western Siberia with the aim to obtain a reliable forecast of intense rainfalls. The performed comparison of predicted and factual data on precipitation and cloudiness demonstrated good possibilities of the model for forecasting precipitation and dangerous events for aviation. The ETA microphysics parameterization yielded the best results.
Key concepts: Weather Research and Forecasting Model, Mesoscale meteorology, Precipitation, Meteorology, Environmental science, Climatology, Quantitative precipitation forecast, Aviation