Regional Policy Spillovers: The National Impact of Demand-Side Policy in an Interregional Model of the UK Economy
Michelle Gilmartin, David Learmouth, John Swales, Peter McGregor, Karen Turner
Abstract
Michelle Gilmartin, David Learmouth, John Swales, Peter McGregor, Karen Turner
Abstract
UK regional policy has been advocated as a means of reducing regional disparities and stimulating national growth. However, there is limited understanding of the interregional and national effects of such a policy. This paper uses an interregional computable general equilibrium model to identify the national impact of a policy-induced regional demand shock under alternative labour market closures. Our simulation results suggest that regional policy operating solely on the demand side has significant national impacts. Furthermore, the effects on the nontarget region are particularly sensitive to the treatment of the regional labour market.
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UK regional policy has been advocated as a means of reducing regional disparities and stimulating national growth. However, there is limited understanding of the interregional and national effects of such a policy. This paper uses an interregional computable general equilibrium model to identify the national impact of a policy-induced regional demand shock under alternative labour market closures. Our simulation results suggest that regional policy operating solely on the demand side has significant national impacts. Furthermore, the effects on the nontarget region are particularly sensitive to the treatment of the regional labour market.
Key concepts: Computable general equilibrium, Shock (circulatory), Economics, Demand side, Regional policy, Demand shock, Shift-share analysis, Macroeconomics