2012RePEc: Research Papers in EconomicsOpen access

Taylor Rule and Monetary Policy in Tunisia

Imen Mohamed Sghaier

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Abstract

This paper estimates the forward-looking monetary policy reaction function of the Central Bank of Tunisia (CBT) using quarterly data from 1993:Q2 to 2011:Q4. Policies which the CBT applied are analyzed according to the Taylor rule. The empirical results indicate that the CBT followed the Taylor rule in its interest setting behaviour. In forward-looking models, the response coefficient of expected inflation is greater than the output gap, which is consistent with the fact that inflation is the primary objective of monetary policy. The results of forwardlooking models reflect the policies conducted in Tunisia.

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This paper estimates the forward-looking monetary policy reaction function of the Central Bank of Tunisia (CBT) using quarterly data from 1993:Q2 to 2011:Q4. Policies which the CBT applied are analyzed according to the Taylor rule. The empirical results indicate that the CBT followed the Taylor rule in its interest setting behaviour. In forward-looking models, the response coefficient of expected inflation is greater than the output gap, which is consistent with the fact that inflation is the primary objective of monetary policy. The results of forwardlooking models reflect the policies conducted in Tunisia.

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Available abstract

This paper estimates the forward-looking monetary policy reaction function of the Central Bank of Tunisia (CBT) using quarterly data from 1993:Q2 to 2011:Q4. Policies which the CBT applied are analyzed according to the Taylor rule. The empirical results indicate that the CBT followed the Taylor rule in its interest setting behaviour. In forward-looking models, the response coefficient of expected inflation is greater than the output gap, which is consistent with the fact that inflation is the primary objective of monetary policy. The results of forwardlooking models reflect the policies conducted in Tunisia.

Key concepts: Taylor rule, Monetary policy, Economics, Output gap, Inflation (cosmology), Inflation targeting, Central bank, Function (biology)

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