2005RePEc: Research Papers in EconomicsRequires access

An estimated new Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of the Euro area

Marco Ratto, Werner Röger, Jan in ’t Veld, Riccardo Girardi

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Abstract

In recent years a new consensus has emerged in macroeconomics in general and in model building in particular, the so called New Keynesian Paradigm (NKM).This paper applies Bayesian estimation techniques to a time series data set of the euro area and presents estimates of a DSGE model. The purpose of this paper is not to estimate the current version of the QUEST model directly with these methods but rather to estimate a prototype new generation New-Keynesian DSGE model. This model can then serve as a benchmark for an estimation of a QUEST specification. In fact in some dimensions the QUEST model may need to be adjusted to come closer to a DSGE model.

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What this paper is about

In recent years a new consensus has emerged in macroeconomics in general and in model building in particular, the so called New Keynesian Paradigm (NKM).This paper applies Bayesian estimation techniques to a time series data set of the euro area and presents estimates of a DSGE model. The purpose of this paper is not to estimate the current version of the QUEST model directly with these methods but rather to estimate a prototype new generation New-Keynesian DSGE model. This model can then serve as a benchmark for an estimation of a QUEST specification. In fact in some dimensions the QUEST model may need to be adjusted to come closer to a DSGE model.

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Available abstract

In recent years a new consensus has emerged in macroeconomics in general and in model building in particular, the so called New Keynesian Paradigm (NKM).This paper applies Bayesian estimation techniques to a time series data set of the euro area and presents estimates of a DSGE model. The purpose of this paper is not to estimate the current version of the QUEST model directly with these methods but rather to estimate a prototype new generation New-Keynesian DSGE model. This model can then serve as a benchmark for an estimation of a QUEST specification. In fact in some dimensions the QUEST model may need to be adjusted to come closer to a DSGE model.

Key concepts: Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium, New Keynesian economics, Benchmark (surveying), Economics, Econometrics, Bayes estimator, Estimation, Bayesian probability

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