2006International Journal of Emerging MarketsRequires access

Day‐of‐the‐week and other market anomalies in the Indian stock market

Mahendra Raj, Damini Kumari

Open publisher page 99 citations

Abstract

Purpose This paper attempts to investigate the presence of seasonal effects in the Indian stock market. Design/methodology/approach The paper tests the efficiency of the Indian stock market through a number of hypotheses. Week day effects, day‐of‐the‐week, weekend, January and April effects are examined by applying a variety of statistical techniques. Findings The results are interesting and contradict some of the findings found elsewhere. The negative Monday effect and the positive January effects are not found in India. Instead the Monday returns are positive while Tuesday returns are negative. Research limitations/implications The seasonal effects in the Indian market have been examined by the two major indices, the Bombay Stock Exchange Index and the National Stock Exchange Index. However, it must be remembered that the Indian economy became deregulated from 1991 and this may have had an impact on the markets. Practical implications This study indicates that the Indian stock market does not exhibit the usual seasonal anomalies such as Monday and January effect. The absence of Monday effect could be due to the settlement period in Indian market. That the tax year ends in March and December has no special significance may explain the non‐existence of January Originality/value Most of the studies on anomalies have dealt with the developed markets. The Indian market has its unique Badla financing, settlement period duration and trading regulations. The presence/absence of the anomalies may provide support to some of the hypotheses used to explain them.

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What this paper is about

Purpose This paper attempts to investigate the presence of seasonal effects in the Indian stock market. Design/methodology/approach The paper tests the efficiency of the Indian stock market through a number of hypotheses. Week day effects, day‐of‐the‐week, weekend, January and April effects are examined by applying a variety of statistical techniques. Findings The results are interesting and contradict some of the findings found elsewhere. The negative Monday effect and the positive January effects are not found in India. Instead the Monday returns are positive while Tuesday returns are negative. Research limitations/implications The seasonal effects in the Indian market have been examined by the two major indices, the Bombay Stock Exchange Index and the National Stock Exchange Index. However, it must be remembered that the Indian economy became deregulated from 1991 and this may have had an impact on the markets. Practical implications This study indicates that the Indian stock market does not exhibit the usual seasonal anomalies such as Monday and January effect. The absence of Monday effect could be due to the settlement period in Indian market. That the tax year ends in March and December has no special significance may explain the non‐existence of January Originality/value Most of the studies on anomalies have dealt with the developed markets. The Indian market has its unique Badla financing, settlement period duration and trading regulations. The presence/absence of the anomalies may provide support to some of the hypotheses used to explain them.

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Available abstract

Purpose This paper attempts to investigate the presence of seasonal effects in the Indian stock market. Design/methodology/approach The paper tests the efficiency of the Indian stock market through a number of hypotheses. Week day effects, day‐of‐the‐week, weekend, January and April effects are examined by applying a variety of statistical techniques. Findings The results are interesting and contradict some of the findings found elsewhere. The negative Monday effect and the positive January effects are not found in India. Instead the Monday returns are positive while Tuesday returns are negative. Research limitations/implications The seasonal effects in the Indian market have been examined by the two major indices, the Bombay Stock Exchange Index and the National Stock Exchange Index. However, it must be remembered that the Indian economy became deregulated from 1991 and this may have had an impact on the markets. Practical implications This study indicates that the Indian stock market does not exhibit the usual seasonal anomalies such as Monday and January effect. The absence of Monday effect could be due to the settlement period in Indian market. That the tax year ends in March and December has no special significance may explain the non‐existence of January Originality/value Most of the studies on anomalies have dealt with the developed markets. The Indian market has its unique Badla financing, settlement period duration and trading regulations. The presence/absence of the anomalies may provide support to some of the hypotheses used to explain them.

Key concepts: Stock market, Names of the days of the week, Stock exchange, Efficient-market hypothesis, January effect, Economics, Stock (firearms), Stock market index

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