Simulation Study of Conditional, Bootstrap, and t Confidence Intervals in Linear Regression
Paul W. Vos, Suzanne Hudson
Abstract
Paul W. Vos, Suzanne Hudson
Abstract
Two resampling procedures, the bootstrap (BS) and the conditional confidence interval (CCI), are compared with the standard t-interval for the slope parameter in simple linear regression with an error term that is not necessarily normal. The type of bootstrap confidence intervals computed are the widely used bias-corrected and accelerated (BC a ) intervals. The CCIs are found by an efficient method for inverting permutation tests. Normal, highly skewed, and heavy-tailed error distributions are considered. While the CCI and BC a intervals have similar asymptotic properties, for a moderate number of cases, the confidence intervals obtained from the CCI and BC a behave differently in terms of accuracy, power, length, and correctness. Across all conditions, the CCI is the most accurate interval and has very good power. The t-intervals are also very accurate across most of the conditions we studied, and have coverage closer to the nominal value than the BC a intervals.
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Two resampling procedures, the bootstrap (BS) and the conditional confidence interval (CCI), are compared with the standard t-interval for the slope parameter in simple linear regression with an error term that is not necessarily normal. The type of bootstrap confidence intervals computed are the widely used bias-corrected and accelerated (BC a ) intervals. The CCIs are found by an efficient method for inverting permutation tests. Normal, highly skewed, and heavy-tailed error distributions are considered. While the CCI and BC a intervals have similar asymptotic properties, for a moderate number of cases, the confidence intervals obtained from the CCI and BC a behave differently in terms of accuracy, power, length, and correctness. Across all conditions, the CCI is the most accurate interval and has very good power. The t-intervals are also very accurate across most of the conditions we studied, and have coverage closer to the nominal value than the BC a intervals.
Key concepts: Resampling, Confidence interval, Mathematics, Statistics, Nominal level, Robust confidence intervals, Linear regression, Coverage probability