2012Advanced materials researchRequires access

Mathematical Programming Based Short Term Load Forecasting Algorithm, Case Study: Turkey 2010

Nurettin Çetinkaya

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Abstract

Short-term load forecasting (STLF) is an important problem in the operation of electrical power generation and transmission. In this paper, STLF algorithm was developed for electrical power systems using mathematical programming with Matlab. A fast and efficient computational algorithm has been obtained for STLF. The mean absolute percentage errors (MAPE) of daily loads forecast and weekly loads forecast for Turkey are found as 1,76%, 1,92%, respectively.

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What this paper is about

Short-term load forecasting (STLF) is an important problem in the operation of electrical power generation and transmission. In this paper, STLF algorithm was developed for electrical power systems using mathematical programming with Matlab. A fast and efficient computational algorithm has been obtained for STLF. The mean absolute percentage errors (MAPE) of daily loads forecast and weekly loads forecast for Turkey are found as 1,76%, 1,92%, respectively.

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Available abstract

Short-term load forecasting (STLF) is an important problem in the operation of electrical power generation and transmission. In this paper, STLF algorithm was developed for electrical power systems using mathematical programming with Matlab. A fast and efficient computational algorithm has been obtained for STLF. The mean absolute percentage errors (MAPE) of daily loads forecast and weekly loads forecast for Turkey are found as 1,76%, 1,92%, respectively.

Key concepts: Term (time), MATLAB, Mean absolute percentage error, Electric power system, Computer science, Algorithm, Power (physics), Mathematical optimization

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