Evidence on PPP for selected Asian countries from a panel cointegration test with structural breaks
Paresh Kumar Narayan
Abstract
Paresh Kumar Narayan
Abstract
The goal of this article is to examine evidence for purchasing power parity (PPP) for a panel of Asian countries, namely Malaysia, Thailand, India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka and the Philippines. Our main contribution is that for the first time in this literature we use a panel cointegration test, developed by Westerlund (2006 Westerlund, J. 2006. Testing for panel cointegration with multiple structural breaks. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 68: 101–32. [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), which allows us to incorporate multiple structural breaks. We find that using Gregory and Hansen's (1996) residual-based test for cointegration and Pedroni's (1999) panel cointegration test without structural breaks provide weak evidence of cointegration between nominal exchange rates vis-à-vis the US dollar and relative prices. However, when we use the Lagrange multiplier panel structural break cointegration test we find strong evidence of panel cointegration, providing evidence for PPP.
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The goal of this article is to examine evidence for purchasing power parity (PPP) for a panel of Asian countries, namely Malaysia, Thailand, India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka and the Philippines. Our main contribution is that for the first time in this literature we use a panel cointegration test, developed by Westerlund (2006 Westerlund, J. 2006. Testing for panel cointegration with multiple structural breaks. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 68: 101–32. [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), which allows us to incorporate multiple structural breaks. We find that using Gregory and Hansen's (1996) residual-based test for cointegration and Pedroni's (1999) panel cointegration test without structural breaks provide weak evidence of cointegration between nominal exchange rates vis-à-vis the US dollar and relative prices. However, when we use the Lagrange multiplier panel structural break cointegration test we find strong evidence of panel cointegration, providing evidence for PPP.
Key concepts: Cointegration, Economics, Purchasing power parity, Econometrics, Us dollar, Structural break, Panel data, Exchange rate