The Application of System Dynamics Model of City Water Demand Forecasting
Sheng Na Yang, Hua Jun Guo, Yan Li, Junliang Liu
Abstract
Sheng Na Yang, Hua Jun Guo, Yan Li, Junliang Liu
Abstract
With the continuous development of city, urban water consumption is continuously increasing. But the earth's fresh water resources are limited. If you want to meet the urban development increases the amount of water, you must forecast for urban water demand in the future, water demand prediction is also should be formed. This research mainly adopts the method of system dynamics to predict the water demand of city over the next decade. Forecast of water demand to get accurate effective demand in the future by establishing a system dynamic model, which accuracy should tested and verified.
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With the continuous development of city, urban water consumption is continuously increasing. But the earth's fresh water resources are limited. If you want to meet the urban development increases the amount of water, you must forecast for urban water demand in the future, water demand prediction is also should be formed. This research mainly adopts the method of system dynamics to predict the water demand of city over the next decade. Forecast of water demand to get accurate effective demand in the future by establishing a system dynamic model, which accuracy should tested and verified.
Key concepts: Water consumption, System dynamics, Demand forecasting, Environmental science, Environmental economics, Water resources, Consumption (sociology), Demand patterns