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1975•Journal of the American Statistical AssociationRequires access

A Bayesian Analysis of a Switching Regression Model: Known Number of Regimes

Pedro Eduardo Ferreira

Open publisher page 112 citations

Abstract

Some aspects of Bayesian methods of inference relative to switching regression models are analyzed. It is shown that Bayesian confidence intervals and tests may be obtained by using Student's t and χ2 distributions. Mean biases and MSE of some Bayesian estimates are compared by Monte Carlo methods with those of the ML estimate. The MSE of the Bayesian estimates were uniformly smaller than those of the ML estimate. An experiment designed by Quandt [11] is also analyzed.

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What this paper is about

Some aspects of Bayesian methods of inference relative to switching regression models are analyzed. It is shown that Bayesian confidence intervals and tests may be obtained by using Student's t and χ2 distributions. Mean biases and MSE of some Bayesian estimates are compared by Monte Carlo methods with those of the ML estimate. The MSE of the Bayesian estimates were uniformly smaller than those of the ML estimate. An experiment designed by Quandt [11] is also analyzed.

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OpenAlex reports 112 citations for this work. Citation counts describe recorded attention and do not establish research quality.

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Available abstract

Some aspects of Bayesian methods of inference relative to switching regression models are analyzed. It is shown that Bayesian confidence intervals and tests may be obtained by using Student's t and χ2 distributions. Mean biases and MSE of some Bayesian estimates are compared by Monte Carlo methods with those of the ML estimate. The MSE of the Bayesian estimates were uniformly smaller than those of the ML estimate. An experiment designed by Quandt [11] is also analyzed.

Key concepts: Bayesian probability, Bayesian linear regression, Statistics, Bayesian average, Confidence interval, Bayesian inference, Mathematics, Regression

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