THE WAVES OF TECHNOLOGICAL INNOVATIONS OF THE MODERN AGE AND THE PRESENT CRISIS AS THE END OF THE WAVE OF THE INFORMATIONAL TECHNOLOGICAL REVOLUTION
Daniel Šmihula
Abstract
Daniel Šmihula
Abstract
The article is about new views on the theory of “long waves” and specially from the point of view of technological progress importance of which is stressed. It developed a new conception of waves of technological innovations in a modern society (from 1600 AD). The last 5th wave (based on a progress in informatics and telecommunications) is just coming to an end. Today economic crisis (2008) must be seen also as the crisis of the end of the cycle of innovations. It could be overcome by a new technological revolution (post-informational technological revolution) which could start about 2015.
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The article is about new views on the theory of “long waves” and specially from the point of view of technological progress importance of which is stressed. It developed a new conception of waves of technological innovations in a modern society (from 1600 AD). The last 5th wave (based on a progress in informatics and telecommunications) is just coming to an end. Today economic crisis (2008) must be seen also as the crisis of the end of the cycle of innovations. It could be overcome by a new technological revolution (post-informational technological revolution) which could start about 2015.
Key concepts: Technological revolution, Technological change, Kondratiev wave, Information revolution, Industrial Revolution, Technological system, Economic system, Economics