2014•RePEc: Research Papers in EconomicsRequires access

Are momentum and contrarian effects related? Evidence from the Chinese stock market

Shangkari V. Anusakumar, Ruhani Ali, Chee‐Wooi Hooy

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Abstract

Behavioral models suggest that momentum and contrarian effects are linked. We examine the two effects in the Chinese stock market over an 18-year period. The findings reveal that there is no momentum effect in China. Nevertheless, contrarian portfolio yields significant returns. In other words, contrarian effect exists despite the absence of momentum. Further, we find that the contrarian portfolio returns remain positive in the short term. The evidence suggests that momentum and contrarian effects are separate anomalies.

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What this paper is about

Behavioral models suggest that momentum and contrarian effects are linked. We examine the two effects in the Chinese stock market over an 18-year period. The findings reveal that there is no momentum effect in China. Nevertheless, contrarian portfolio yields significant returns. In other words, contrarian effect exists despite the absence of momentum. Further, we find that the contrarian portfolio returns remain positive in the short term. The evidence suggests that momentum and contrarian effects are separate anomalies.

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Available abstract

Behavioral models suggest that momentum and contrarian effects are linked. We examine the two effects in the Chinese stock market over an 18-year period. The findings reveal that there is no momentum effect in China. Nevertheless, contrarian portfolio yields significant returns. In other words, contrarian effect exists despite the absence of momentum. Further, we find that the contrarian portfolio returns remain positive in the short term. The evidence suggests that momentum and contrarian effects are separate anomalies.

Key concepts: Contrarian, Momentum (technical analysis), Portfolio, Stock (firearms), Economics, Financial economics, Stock market, China

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