APPLICATION OF MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION TO STOCHASTIC SHORT RATE MODELS
Kevin Fergusson, Eckhard Platen
Abstract
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Kevin Fergusson, Eckhard Platen
Abstract
Open-access reader
The application of maximum likelihood estimation is not well studied for stochastic short rate models because of the cumbersome detail of this approach. We investigate the applicability of maximum likelihood estimation to stochastic short rate models. We restrict our consideration to three important short rate models, namely the Vasicek, Cox–Ingersoll–Ross (CIR) and 3/2 short rate models, each having a closed-form formula for the transition density function. The parameters of the three interest rate models are fitted to US cash rates and are found to be consistent with market assessments.
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The application of maximum likelihood estimation is not well studied for stochastic short rate models because of the cumbersome detail of this approach. We investigate the applicability of maximum likelihood estimation to stochastic short rate models. We restrict our consideration to three important short rate models, namely the Vasicek, Cox–Ingersoll–Ross (CIR) and 3/2 short rate models, each having a closed-form formula for the transition density function. The parameters of the three interest rate models are fitted to US cash rates and are found to be consistent with market assessments.
Key concepts: Vasicek model, Cox–Ingersoll–Ross model, Short rate, Short-rate model, Maximum likelihood, Rendleman–Bartter model, Econometrics, Likelihood function