Stated Responses to Policy Interventions and Technological Innovation of Electric Motorcycles in Laos
Ling Sun, Junyi Zhang
Abstract
Ling Sun, Junyi Zhang
Abstract
Recently, the heavy pollution from motorcycles prompts the trend to promote electric motorcycles (EMs) with no emission and higher efficiency. This research represents people’s stated responses to different policy interventions and technological innovations of EMs, from the perspective of human choice behavior, in Vientiane, Laos. Based on a stated preference (SP) survey, a dogit model with parameterized captivity functions was adopted to examine the important influential factors to the choice of EMs by accommodating people’s heterogeneous captivity to different alternatives in a choice set. Simulations under different policy-related and technology-related scenarios were conducted, as well. Based on the analysis results, it is found that the preferred distance to charge station is 0.8 km - 1.0 km and people are more likely to choose EMs when the cruising range is longer, operation cost is lower, and the diffusion rate is lower.
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Recently, the heavy pollution from motorcycles prompts the trend to promote electric motorcycles (EMs) with no emission and higher efficiency. This research represents people’s stated responses to different policy interventions and technological innovations of EMs, from the perspective of human choice behavior, in Vientiane, Laos. Based on a stated preference (SP) survey, a dogit model with parameterized captivity functions was adopted to examine the important influential factors to the choice of EMs by accommodating people’s heterogeneous captivity to different alternatives in a choice set. Simulations under different policy-related and technology-related scenarios were conducted, as well. Based on the analysis results, it is found that the preferred distance to charge station is 0.8 km - 1.0 km and people are more likely to choose EMs when the cruising range is longer, operation cost is lower, and the diffusion rate is lower.
Key concepts: Psychological intervention, Preference, Electric vehicle, Captivity, Set (abstract data type), Perspective (graphical), Externality, Public economics