2000RePEc: Research Papers in EconomicsOpen access

Price-level Targeting versus Inflation Targeting in a Forward-looking Model

David Vestin

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Abstract

This paper examines a price-level target in a model with a forward-looking Calvo-Taylor Phillips curve. Contrary to conventional wisdom, it is found that price-level targeting leads to a better trade-off between inflation and output-gap variability than inflation targeting, when the central bank acts under discretion. In some cases, price-level targeting under dircretion results in the same equilibrium as inflation targeting under commitment.

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What this paper is about

This paper examines a price-level target in a model with a forward-looking Calvo-Taylor Phillips curve. Contrary to conventional wisdom, it is found that price-level targeting leads to a better trade-off between inflation and output-gap variability than inflation targeting, when the central bank acts under discretion. In some cases, price-level targeting under dircretion results in the same equilibrium as inflation targeting under commitment.

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Available abstract

This paper examines a price-level target in a model with a forward-looking Calvo-Taylor Phillips curve. Contrary to conventional wisdom, it is found that price-level targeting leads to a better trade-off between inflation and output-gap variability than inflation targeting, when the central bank acts under discretion. In some cases, price-level targeting under dircretion results in the same equilibrium as inflation targeting under commitment.

Key concepts: Economics, Inflation targeting, Inflation (cosmology), Phillips curve, Discretion, Monetary policy, Output gap, Price level

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