2015•Unpublished venueRequires access

Inflation and economic growth in Nigeria

Jeremiah Femi Olu, Emmanuel Ogwu Idih

Open publisher page 34 citations

Abstract

This study is on inflation rate and economic growth in Nigeria between the period 1980 and 2013. The main objective of the study was to investigate the nature of relationship between inflation rate and economic growth rate. The study made use of secondary data sourced from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Statistical Bulletin and the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). The Ordinary Least Square (OLS) logged multiple regression was employed with Gross Domestic Product (GDP) as the dependent variable and Inflation Rate (INFR), Exchange Rate (EXCHR), Input of Labour and Input of Capital served as the explanatory variables. Our results showed that inflation rate in line with apriori expectations had a positive relationship but non-significant with the economic growth rate. This suggested that as the GDP rises inflation also rises, suggesting that there has been no effectiveness in the monetary policies aimed at tackling or controlling inflation rate in Nigeria. We recommended that for sustainable economic growth to be achieved in Nigeria, the level of inflation should be stabilized by the monetary authorities.

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What this paper is about

This study is on inflation rate and economic growth in Nigeria between the period 1980 and 2013. The main objective of the study was to investigate the nature of relationship between inflation rate and economic growth rate. The study made use of secondary data sourced from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Statistical Bulletin and the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). The Ordinary Least Square (OLS) logged multiple regression was employed with Gross Domestic Product (GDP) as the dependent variable and Inflation Rate (INFR), Exchange Rate (EXCHR), Input of Labour and Input of Capital served as the explanatory variables. Our results showed that inflation rate in line with apriori expectations had a positive relationship but non-significant with the economic growth rate. This suggested that as the GDP rises inflation also rises, suggesting that there has been no effectiveness in the monetary policies aimed at tackling or controlling inflation rate in Nigeria. We recommended that for sustainable economic growth to be achieved in Nigeria, the level of inflation should be stabilized by the monetary authorities.

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Available abstract

This study is on inflation rate and economic growth in Nigeria between the period 1980 and 2013. The main objective of the study was to investigate the nature of relationship between inflation rate and economic growth rate. The study made use of secondary data sourced from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Statistical Bulletin and the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). The Ordinary Least Square (OLS) logged multiple regression was employed with Gross Domestic Product (GDP) as the dependent variable and Inflation Rate (INFR), Exchange Rate (EXCHR), Input of Labour and Input of Capital served as the explanatory variables. Our results showed that inflation rate in line with apriori expectations had a positive relationship but non-significant with the economic growth rate. This suggested that as the GDP rises inflation also rises, suggesting that there has been no effectiveness in the monetary policies aimed at tackling or controlling inflation rate in Nigeria. We recommended that for sustainable economic growth to be achieved in Nigeria, the level of inflation should be stabilized by the monetary authorities.

Key concepts: Economics, Inflation (cosmology), Ordinary least squares, Gross domestic product, Inflation rate, Misery index, Economic stability, Exchange rate

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