1977Unpublished venueOpen access

Structural descriptions of alternative energy futures

C.W. Bullard

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Abstract

Long-range energy policy analysis requires a mechanism for characterizing key structural features of a nation's economic system. It is shown that energy-analysis techniques are well-suited to such applications, particularly over time horizons beyond the reach of econometric methodologies. Trade-offs between aggregation and uncertainty are discussed as a function of time horizon. For alternative energy futures, special attention is given to the assessment of impacts on lifestyles, technology, and employment.

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Long-range energy policy analysis requires a mechanism for characterizing key structural features of a nation's economic system. It is shown that energy-analysis techniques are well-suited to such applications, particularly over time horizons beyond the reach of econometric methodologies. Trade-offs between aggregation and uncertainty are discussed as a function of time horizon. For alternative energy futures, special attention is given to the assessment of impacts on lifestyles, technology, and employment.

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Available abstract

Long-range energy policy analysis requires a mechanism for characterizing key structural features of a nation's economic system. It is shown that energy-analysis techniques are well-suited to such applications, particularly over time horizons beyond the reach of econometric methodologies. Trade-offs between aggregation and uncertainty are discussed as a function of time horizon. For alternative energy futures, special attention is given to the assessment of impacts on lifestyles, technology, and employment.

Key concepts: Futures contract, Energy (signal processing), Function (biology), Range (aeronautics), Horizon, Economics, Key (lock), Computer science

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