2012Munich Personal RePEc Archive (Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich)Open access

How far India has gone down the road towards financial integration with US since subprime crisis? An Econometric Analysis

Malayendu Saha, Amalendu Bhunia

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Abstract

The present paper aims to study the causal relationship between the US and Indian equity markets using Johansen’s cointegration and variance decomposition analyses. Since the opening up of the economy and subsequent economic and political reforms, India has made tremendous strides in the\nglobal equity markets and also been impinged on by the recent happenings. Eviews 7 package program has been used for arranging the data and conducting econometric analyses. The ADF test shows that the time series data used for the study are stationary and integrated of order one. The\nJohansen’s co-integration test reveals that there exists long run equilibrium relation between the selected variables. The Granger causality test in the vector error correction model suggests the evidence of feedback causality running between the six stock exchanges. However, there is no dependence of any of the individual exchange over the other.

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The present paper aims to study the causal relationship between the US and Indian equity markets using Johansen’s cointegration and variance decomposition analyses. Since the opening up of the economy and subsequent economic and political reforms, India has made tremendous strides in the\nglobal equity markets and also been impinged on by the recent happenings. Eviews 7 package program has been used for arranging the data and conducting econometric analyses. The ADF test shows that the time series data used for the study are stationary and integrated of order one. The\nJohansen’s co-integration test reveals that there exists long run equilibrium relation between the selected variables. The Granger causality test in the vector error correction model suggests the evidence of feedback causality running between the six stock exchanges. However, there is no dependence of any of the individual exchange over the other.

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Available abstract

The present paper aims to study the causal relationship between the US and Indian equity markets using Johansen’s cointegration and variance decomposition analyses. Since the opening up of the economy and subsequent economic and political reforms, India has made tremendous strides in the\nglobal equity markets and also been impinged on by the recent happenings. Eviews 7 package program has been used for arranging the data and conducting econometric analyses. The ADF test shows that the time series data used for the study are stationary and integrated of order one. The\nJohansen’s co-integration test reveals that there exists long run equilibrium relation between the selected variables. The Granger causality test in the vector error correction model suggests the evidence of feedback causality running between the six stock exchanges. However, there is no dependence of any of the individual exchange over the other.

Key concepts: Granger causality, Variance decomposition of forecast errors, Johansen test, Cointegration, Economics, Equity (law), Subprime crisis, Vector autoregression

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