Investigating the oil price-exchange rate nexus: Evidence from Africa
Simeon Coleman, Juan Carlos Cuestas, Estefanía Mourelle
Abstract
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Simeon Coleman, Juan Carlos Cuestas, Estefanía Mourelle
Abstract
Open-access reader
In this paper, we aim to provide further insights into the importance of real oil price as a determinant of real exchange rates for a pool of African countries. While this relationship has been explored substantially for many industrialised economies, African countries have \nreceived little attention. By means of cointegration techniques and nonlinear dynamics we find that, for some of these countries, shocks in the real price of oil are particularly important in determining the real exchange rates, even in the long run. These results would be of \ninterest for policymakers in order to deal more effectively with exchange rate policy decisions, aiming at promoting economic growth in the area.
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In this paper, we aim to provide further insights into the importance of real oil price as a determinant of real exchange rates for a pool of African countries. While this relationship has been explored substantially for many industrialised economies, African countries have \nreceived little attention. By means of cointegration techniques and nonlinear dynamics we find that, for some of these countries, shocks in the real price of oil are particularly important in determining the real exchange rates, even in the long run. These results would be of \ninterest for policymakers in order to deal more effectively with exchange rate policy decisions, aiming at promoting economic growth in the area.
Key concepts: Cointegration, Nexus (standard), Exchange rate, Economics, Oil price, Order (exchange), Macroeconomics, Monetary economics