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2004•Romanian Journal of Economic ForecastingRequires access

Modeling Inflation In Romania

Elena Pelinescu, Géomina Turlea

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Abstract

This paper is organized in three parts: a discussion of general issues, an overview of evolution of inflation, highlighting the stages of the persistent inflation in Romania, and a model of Romanian inflation using VAR methodology. The purpose of the paper is to present an efficient instrument for simulation and research of inflation and its determinants in Romania, with a focus on the short-term impact of changes in money, foreign exchange and wage policies as well as the impact of external shocks.

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What this paper is about

This paper is organized in three parts: a discussion of general issues, an overview of evolution of inflation, highlighting the stages of the persistent inflation in Romania, and a model of Romanian inflation using VAR methodology. The purpose of the paper is to present an efficient instrument for simulation and research of inflation and its determinants in Romania, with a focus on the short-term impact of changes in money, foreign exchange and wage policies as well as the impact of external shocks.

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OpenAlex reports 5 citations for this work. Citation counts describe recorded attention and do not establish research quality.

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Available abstract

This paper is organized in three parts: a discussion of general issues, an overview of evolution of inflation, highlighting the stages of the persistent inflation in Romania, and a model of Romanian inflation using VAR methodology. The purpose of the paper is to present an efficient instrument for simulation and research of inflation and its determinants in Romania, with a focus on the short-term impact of changes in money, foreign exchange and wage policies as well as the impact of external shocks.

Key concepts: Inflation (cosmology), Economics, Romanian, Macroeconomics, Wage, Exchange rate, Foreign exchange, Keynesian economics

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