2005RePEc: Research Papers in EconomicsRequires access

Volatility and realized quadratic variation of differenced returns

Esben Hoeg

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Abstract

This paper analyzes some asymptotic results for a new estimator of integrated volatility in a continuous-time diffusion process of high frequency data (used in asset pricing finance). The estimator, which is computationally efficient, is based on the quadratic variation of the second order log-price differences. This is contrary to the well known realized quadratic variation of intra daily returns (which is based on first order log-price differences). This latter is known as realized volatility. Analytically, the asymptotics of the proposed estimator is compared to the usual realized volatility estimators. Lastly, we provide some simulation experiments to illustrate the results.

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What this paper is about

This paper analyzes some asymptotic results for a new estimator of integrated volatility in a continuous-time diffusion process of high frequency data (used in asset pricing finance). The estimator, which is computationally efficient, is based on the quadratic variation of the second order log-price differences. This is contrary to the well known realized quadratic variation of intra daily returns (which is based on first order log-price differences). This latter is known as realized volatility. Analytically, the asymptotics of the proposed estimator is compared to the usual realized volatility estimators. Lastly, we provide some simulation experiments to illustrate the results.

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Available abstract

This paper analyzes some asymptotic results for a new estimator of integrated volatility in a continuous-time diffusion process of high frequency data (used in asset pricing finance). The estimator, which is computationally efficient, is based on the quadratic variation of the second order log-price differences. This is contrary to the well known realized quadratic variation of intra daily returns (which is based on first order log-price differences). This latter is known as realized volatility. Analytically, the asymptotics of the proposed estimator is compared to the usual realized volatility estimators. Lastly, we provide some simulation experiments to illustrate the results.

Key concepts: Quadratic variation, Estimator, Realized variance, Volatility (finance), Quadratic equation, Econometrics, Stochastic volatility, Economics

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